Resolution source
Every market should name its resolution source. 'FOMC statement at the meeting release time' is specific. 'What people generally say' is not.
Prediction Markets 101 editorial team Updated April 16, 2026 1 min read
Definition
The named authoritative source a market uses to determine its outcome. Listed in the market's contract spec.
Plain-English explanation
Precise resolution sources avoid disputes. Ambiguous sources cause disputes. Examples: AP election call, BLS unemployment press release, Federal Reserve statement, official NFL scoreboard.